ESPN FPI projections for West Virginia football's remaining games
West Virginia had this past weekend off but will get back on the field this Thursday when they take on former WVU head coach Dana Holgorsen and the Houston Cougars.
We'll use ESPN's Football Power Index to look at the remaining schedule and their predictions on how WVU will fare in those games. WVU is currently ranked No. 43 by the network's model, which is down one spot from last week.
The Mountaineers are expected to win five of the remaining seven games.
Football Power Index (abbreviated as FPI) is a predictive rating system developed by ESPN that measures team strength and uses it to forecast game and season results in American football. Each team’s FPI rating is composed of predictive offensive, defensive, and special teams value, as measured by a function of expected points added (EPA). That rating is the basis for FPI’s game-level and season-level projections.
In the chart below, you can see the likelihood of West Virginia winning each of its remaining games on the 2023 football schedule.
| GAME | LIKELIHOOD OF VICTORY | CHANGE SINCE LAST WEEK |
|---|---|---|
|
Oct. 12 @ Houston |
55.8% |
- 0.5% |
|
Oct. 21 vs. Oklahoma State |
64.1% |
- 6.9% |
|
Oct. 28 @ UCF |
37.9% |
+ 7.2% |
|
Nov. 4 vs. BYU |
66.4% |
- 1.6% |
|
Nov. 11 @ Oklahoma |
4.9% |
- 0.6% |
|
Nov. 18 vs. Cincinnati |
51.6% |
- 1.3% |
|
Nov. 25 @ Baylor |
61.2% |
+ 5.4% |
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