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Published Nov 19, 2024
ESPN FPI projections for West Virginia football's remaining games
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Vernon Bailey  •  WVSports
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In West Virginia's last game, they fell 49-35 to Baylor. The Mountaineers will host UCF this weekend.

We'll use ESPN's Football Power Index (FPI) to analyze the remaining schedule and predict how WVU might fare in those matchups. The Mountaineers are currently ranked No. 54 in the FPI, down three spots this week.

UCF is ranked No. 36 by ESPN and is coming off a 35-31 loss to Arizona State.

According to ESPN’s formula, WVU is expected to lose its remaining two games. The formula has been accurate to this point, going 7-3 in its projections this season.

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Football Power Index (abbreviated as FPI) is a predictive rating system developed by ESPN that measures team strength and uses it to forecast game and season results in American football. Each team’s FPI rating is composed of predictive offensive, defensive, and special teams value, as measured by a function of expected points added (EPA). That rating is the basis for FPI’s game-level and season-level projections.

In the chart below, you can see the likelihood of West Virginia winning each of its remaining games on the 2024 football schedule.

West Virginia's Game By Game Predictions
GAMELIKELIHOOD OF VICTORYCHANGE SINCE LAST WEEK

Nov 23 vs UCF

44.7%

- 2.3%

Nov 30 @ Texas Tech

41.3%

- 2.6%

Below you will find ESPN's pre-season predictions. This should allow you to track the overall changes throughout the season.

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