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Published Sep 19, 2023
ESPN FPI projections for West Virginia football's remaining games
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Vernon Bailey  •  WVSports
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West Virginia is coming off of an exciting win over Pitt in the Backyard Brawl and this weekend the Mountaineer football team will host Texas Tech.

We'll use ESPN's Football Power Index to look at the remaining schedule and their predictions on how WVU will fare in those games. WVU is currently ranked No. 54 by the network's model.

Football Power Index (abbreviated as FPI) is a predictive rating system developed by ESPN that measures team strength and uses it to forecast game and season results in American football. Each team’s FPI rating is composed of predictive offensive, defensive, and special teams value, as measured by a function of expected points added (EPA). That rating is the basis for FPI’s game-level and season-level projections.

In the chart below, you can see the likelihood of West Virginia winning each of its remaining games on the 2023 football schedule.

West Virginia's Game By Game Predictions
GAMELIKELIHOOD OF VICTORYCHANGE SINCE LAST WEEK

Sept. 23 vs. Texas Tech

40.0%

Sept. 30 @ TCU

23.4%

Oct. 12 @ Houston

55.5%

Oct. 21 vs. Oklahoma State

63.8%

Oct. 28 @ UCF

18.2%

Nov. 4 vs. BYU

61.2%

Nov. 11 @ Oklahoma

4.4%

Nov. 18 vs. Cincinnati

43.1%

Nov. 25 @ Baylor

45.8%

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