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Published Oct 16, 2023
ESPN FPI projections for West Virginia football's remaining games
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Vernon Bailey  •  WVSports
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West Virginia is coming off a last-second loss to Houston and will host Oklahoma State this coming weekend.

We'll use ESPN's Football Power Index to look at the remaining schedule and their predictions on how WVU will fare in those games. WVU is currently ranked No. 42 by the network's model, which is up one spot from last week.

The Mountaineers are expected to win four of the remaining six games.

Football Power Index (abbreviated as FPI) is a predictive rating system developed by ESPN that measures team strength and uses it to forecast game and season results in American football. Each team’s FPI rating is composed of predictive offensive, defensive, and special teams value, as measured by a function of expected points added (EPA). That rating is the basis for FPI’s game-level and season-level projections.

In the chart below, you can see the likelihood of West Virginia winning each of its remaining games on the 2023 football schedule.

West Virginia's Game By Game Predictions
GAMELIKELIHOOD OF VICTORYCHANGE SINCE LAST WEEK

Oct. 21 vs. Oklahoma State

62.4%

- 1.7%

Oct. 28 @ UCF

39.6%

+ 1.7%

Nov. 4 vs. BYU

73.9%

+ 7.5%

Nov. 11 @ Oklahoma

5.2%

+ 0.3%

Nov. 18 vs. Cincinnati

58.7%

+ 7.1%

Nov. 25 @ Baylor

63.6%

+ 2.4%

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