ESPN FPI projections for West Virginia football's remaining games
West Virginia picked up a big win with a convincing 41-28 win over UCF this past weekend. Up next for the Mountaineers, the BYU Cougars in Morgantown on Saturday.
We'll use ESPN's Football Power Index to look at the remaining schedule and their predictions on how WVU will fare in those games. WVU is currently ranked No. 42 by the network's model, which is an increase of nine spots from last week.
The Mountaineers are expected to win three of the remaining four games.
Football Power Index (abbreviated as FPI) is a predictive rating system developed by ESPN that measures team strength and uses it to forecast game and season results in American football. Each team’s FPI rating is composed of predictive offensive, defensive, and special teams value, as measured by a function of expected points added (EPA). That rating is the basis for FPI’s game-level and season-level projections.
In the chart below, you can see the likelihood of West Virginia winning each of its remaining games on the 2023 football schedule.
| GAME | LIKELIHOOD OF VICTORY | CHANGE SINCE LAST WEEK |
|---|---|---|
|
Nov. 4 vs. BYU |
71.1 |
+ 4.7% |
|
Nov. 11 @ Oklahoma |
7.8% |
+ 2.7% |
|
Nov. 18 vs. Cincinnati |
66.7% |
+ 11.2% |
|
Nov. 25 @ Baylor |
65.3% |
+ 7.9% |
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