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Published Oct 10, 2024
ESPN FPI projections for West Virginia football's remaining games
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Vernon Bailey  •  WVSports
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In their last outing, West Virginia delivered their best performance of the season, defeating Oklahoma State 38-14. This weekend, the Mountaineers host Iowa State.

We'll use ESPN's Football Power Index (FPI) to analyze the remaining schedule and predict how WVU might fare in those matchups. The Mountaineers are currently ranked No. 33 in the FPI, climbing 18 spots from last week.

Iowa State is ranked No. 19 by ESPN and is coming off a 43-21 win over Baylor.

According to ESPN’s formula, WVU is favored in four of its remaining games. The formula has been accurate so far, going 4-1 in its projections this season.

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Football Power Index (abbreviated as FPI) is a predictive rating system developed by ESPN that measures team strength and uses it to forecast game and season results in American football. Each team’s FPI rating is composed of predictive offensive, defensive, and special teams value, as measured by a function of expected points added (EPA). That rating is the basis for FPI’s game-level and season-level projections.

In the chart below, you can see the likelihood of West Virginia winning each of its remaining games on the 2024 football schedule.

West Virginia's Game By Game Predictions
GAMELIKELIHOOD OF VICTORYCHANGE SINCE LAST WEEK

Oct 12 vs Iowa State

45.3%

+ 5.4%

Oct 19 vs Kansas State

48.9%

+ 11.1%

Oct 26 @ Arizona

51.6%

+ 14.5%

Nov 9 @ Cincinnati

51.8%

+ 8.3%

Nov 16 vs Baylor

72.0%

+ 12.5%

Nov 23 vs UCF

58.4%

+ 13.9%

Nov 30 @ Texas Tech

46.4%

+ 6.3%

Below you will find ESPN's pre-season predictions. This should allow you to track the overall changes throughout the season.

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